It’s been ten years since our country has won a Gold medal at the Southeast Asian Games, with Miguel Molina, Ryan Arabejo and Daniel Coakley winning our last golds in it’s 2009 edition in Laos.
Tomorrow, December 4, is the first day of swimming at the 30th Southeast Asian Games which will be held at the NCC Aquatic Center in Capas, Tarlac.
PinoySwimming dot Com predicts this year’s Philippine National Swimming Team to deliver six gold medals for the country.
Yes, you read it right! It’s SIX SEA Games Gold medals in swimming.
A bit unbelievable for many swimming followers.
Something to be excited about for sports fans.
A ‘POSITIVE” gold medal prediction for PinoySwimming dot Com.
While the possibility of not ending our gold medal drought is still there, being this year’s host will play a very important part in our bid to end this drought.
SEA Games is a game of mental toughness and psychological edge. Making it to the Finals is just like swimming at the Finals of the Olympic Games. Very nerve-wracking, thus the most mentally unprepared swimmer will fall.
We have great and fast swimmers. We have great coaches who can help strategize our swims. We have seasoned and mentally tough swimmers. We have the psychological edge being the host. We have the home crowd (28th member of the Team) to cheer for our swimmers on the grandstand.
With all these factors, our Philippine Swimming National Team at 2019 SEA Games will most likely win a minimum of 2 Gold Medals and a maximum of eight to nine gold medals. PAG SOBRANG MALAS NALANG TALAGA, we could end up with zero gold medal.
Check which events we have a chance of winning the gold.
VERY HIGH CHANCE OF WINNING A GOLD
(1) Men’s 50m Breaststroke : Our top bet, James Christian Deiparine, has the fastest seed time among the fourteen entered swimmers in this event, at 27.91. He is the only swimmer who went below 28 seconds leading to this year’s SEA Games. This is his second SEA Games, thus his experience in 2017 SEA Games in Malaysia has readied him to win the gold this year.
With the retirement of the defending champion Indra Gunawan of Indonesia, James toughest competitor in this event is Singapore’s Lionel Khoo, the defending bronze medalist who has an entry time of 28.08. Khoo’s hunger in winning his first individual gold in SEA Games will be his greatest motivation. Other swimmers to watch for are Indonesia’s Nathaniel Gagarin (defending 100m Beast gold medalist) and Muhammad Fahri. Both have entry times of 28.34 and 28.44
Again, entry times are very close to each other. Thus, whoever wants it more, and whoever came mentally prepared will win the gold.
(2) Women’s 200m Butterfly : Our top bet in this event, Remedy Rule, has the fourth fastest entry time in the event, 2:11.38, among the ten entered swimmers. Toughest competitors in this event are Singapore’s Jing Wen Quah (2:10.26), the defending gold medalist, and Vietnam’s Thi Anh Vien Nguyen – 2015 gold medalist. Jing Wen has shocked everyone in 2017 when she beat heavy favorite Vien in this event back in 2017, with Vien missing the podium. Her shocking loss in 2017 will be enough motivation to win the gold again in this event, while Jing Wen who is entered in only two individual events (100m and 200m Fly) will be all out to defend her title.
Rule, on the other hand will have to bank on her experience in high profile meets to win the gold. She had a season’s best time of 2:10.38 clocked in 2017, and no doubt she could go lower than this time considering that the 200m Fly is her pet event. Only worry is that this is her first SEA Games, and in the history of PH Swimming, it is very unlikely for foreign based swimmers to win a gold in SEA Games at their first try. Miguel Molina did not win a gold in his first SEA Games. Jimmy Deiparine, who was highly favored to win the 50m and 100m Breast golds in 2017 SEA Games failed. The last foreign based swimmer who won a SEA Games gold in his/her first SEA Games was Leo Najera in 1991 SEA Games.
Foreign based swimmers grew up not knowing what SEA Games is. The needed Psychological edge about wanting to win a SEA Games gold because it is his/her childhood dream to swim (and win) in SEA Games is not there. If this has been addressed by the coaching staff, no doubt Remedy will become the first Filipino foreign based swimmer to win a gold in his/her first SEA Games after 18 years.
Ooops, we also cannot discount Vietnam’s Thi My Thao Le in the gold medal race. She’s the defending silver medalist, and has the second fastest seed time in this event at 2:10.93
HIGH CHANCE OF WINNING A GOLD
(3) Women’s 4x200m Freestyle Relay : Philippines’ quartet of Jasmine Alkhaldi, Nicole Oliva, Remedy Rule and Xiandi Chua is perhaps the fastest 4x200m Free relay team that Philippine Swimming has ever assembled. A combined seed time of 8:11.38, this time is almost seven seconds faster than the current 8:18.58 Philippine national record in this event. The standing SEA Games record of this event is 8:10.42, being held by Singapore and clocked last 2017 SEA Games.
Though Singapore is still the team to beat in this event having registered a time of 8:08.44 at the FINA World Championships this year in Korea, Philippines has a fighting chance of winning this event, with a possible Tokyo Olympic Games stint at stake.
What? Possible Tokyo Olympic Games stint for our Women’s Quartet? YES, you’ve read it right.
Top 12 teams at the World Championships this year in Korea have already qualified to the Tokyo Olympic Games. Four more teams will be added at the span of the qualifying window to complete the 16 teams who will swim in Tokyo. The four remaining slots is up for grab for all national federations who will register the FOUR fastest 4x200m Free relay times in the qualifying period.
Korea was the 12th team in Gwangju World Championships who won a ticket to Tokyo Olympics, with a time of 8:08.38 for 12th place.
Singapore, who placed 13th in Gwangju World Championships missed the Tokyo Olympics stint by 0.06 seconds; thus their team will definitely be swimming their hearts out in Clark for a possible Tokyo Olympic Games appearance < Click Here for article >.
How about our women’s quartet? Well, well, well! Jasmine, Nicole, Remedy and Xiandi COULD POSSIBLY BEAT SINGAPORE in this event, and CAN POSSIBLY QUALIFY TO THE TOKYO OLYMPIC GAMES in this event.
Though their combined entry time at this year’s SEA Games is only 8:11.38; if you look at their best times (Rule – 2:00.77, Alkaldi – 2:00.84, Oliva – 2:00.98, and Chua – 2:05.63) it tallies to 8:08.22
Our girls could possibly swim faster than their best times at this year’s SEA Games, thus we might just see all four strut their wares in Tokyo next year!
#AribaJasmine #AribaRemedy #AribaNicole #AribaXiandi #GoForTokyoOlympics
There goes the first half of PinoySwimming dot Com’s gold medal prediction. The three remaining possible golds, as well as the dark horses who could possibly deliver a surprise gold, will be up in few hours!
CLICK HERE for the Part 2 of this Medal Prediction Series.