Dissecting Team Philippines’ Kazan World Championship performance

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Team Philippines’ campaign at the 16th FINA World Championship in Kazan, Russia has already ended, and it’s time to dissect how our team has performed at the prestigious biennial meet.

At this year’s World Championship, FINA has applied qualifying times in order to ensure the quality of swimmers in the championship. And to ensure global participation among national federation members, they allow each federation with no qualifiers to send at least four swimmers (two males and two females) to Kazan.

Philippine Swimming has successfully produced three qualifiers – Jasmine Alkhaldi, Jessie Khing Lacuna and Joshua Hall.

With only three qualifiers (1 female and 2 males), Philippines could still send one additional swimmer, thus Roxanne Ashley Yu was named to the team by virtue of having the highest FINA Points among all female swimmers.

Like every global meet where Team Philippines has no chance of a podium finish, the main goals of Team Philippines’ participation to this championship are :

1> to beat the seed times (entry times) and achieve the highest FINA Points possible
2> to rank as high as possible in every event participated
3> to gain relevant experience(s) that would be useful for the swimmers’ growth

Since the latter is not measurable, we will stick to the first two goals and see how Team Philippines fared compared to our past team’s performance at the LC World Championship.

Below is the table of Team Philippines performance at the world championship since we first participated in the 10th edition in Barcelona, Spain last July 2003.

– Highest Placement Rate (HPR) => Success Rate of the highest finish / placement
– Second Highest Placement Rate => Success Rate of the second highest finish / placement
– Third Highest Placement Rate => Success Rate of the third highest finish / placement
– Lowest Placement Rate (LPR) => Success Rate of the lowest finish / placement
– Second Lowest Placement Rate => Success Rate of the second lowest finish / placement
– Third Lowest Placement Rate => Success Rate of the third lowest finish / placement
– Swimmers’ Average Placement Rate (SAPR) => Average success rate of all finished events

How Team Philippines fared in beating the seed times and achieving the highest FINA Points possible :

Team Philippines this year participated in 13 events; DQ’ed in one event and managed to beat the seed time of one event, thus having 8% success rate in beating their seed times / improving their FINA Points.

With an average of 43.33% success rate going to this year’s championship, the 8% success rate this year though is not the lowest that our team has ever recorded.

The lowest was in 2011 where we had 0% success rate, after failing to beat a single “seed time” of the six events entered at that year’s championship.

The highest success rate Team Philippines has ever recorded was in 2005 where we beat 12 best times of the 15 events we participated, with a success rate of 83%

We’ve been enjoying pretty good success rate until 2011 when we dived to 0%; but immediately bounced back in 2013 with 62%. But this year, we again dived to 8% success rate; at least not the lowest that we have ever recorded.

How Team Philippines fared in achieving the highest possible finish (rank) in the events we participated :

While Team Philippines failing miserably (ooppss, no eyes rolling please! data don’t lie!) in achieving our first goal, we did pretty well in our second goal.

With an average of 62.91% Highest Placement Rate (HPR) going to this year’s Championship, our team this year has achieved an HPR of 60.87% after Jasmine Aklhaldi finished 45th in the women’s 50m Freestyle event among 115 entries.

Though our 60.87% HPR this year did not beat the average HPR (62.91%) going to this year’s championship, it is still a welcome improvement compared to the HPRs of the last two editions of the championship where we recorded 51.89% in 2011 and 52.05% in 2013.

Meaning, if our fastest swimmer in the championship was better than the 52% of the swimmers around the world in year 2011 and 2013, our fastest swimmer at this year’s championship is better than the 60.87% of the swimmers around the world – an improvement of 8.82%.

Our highest HPR though is 71.72%, recorded in year 2009. But since then, our performance has declined hitting an average of 52% HPR (2011 and 2013), and finally improved this year to 60.87% HPR.

Hope to see Team Philippines bounce back to 70% HPR in 2017 World Championship. I’m pretty sure we all want to be among the 30% best swimmers around the world!

With an improvement of 8% in our HPR this year, Team Philippines has also recorded a “Second Highest Placement Rate” of 56.67% and “Third Highest Placement Rate” of 46.75%; also an improvement compared to our performance in 2011 and 2013, but still way lower compared to our rate 2003, 2005, 2007 and 2009 success rates.

For this year’s Lowest Placement Rate (LPR), our team still showed an improvement compared to the 2011 and 2013 editions of the championships.

In Kazan, we recorded an LPR of 13.64% compared to the 10% in 2011 and 11.63% in 2013.

Meaning, if our lowest ranked finish in the championship only beat 10% of the swimmers around the world in 2011, and 11.63% in 2013; our lowest ranked finish this year has beaten 13.64% – an improvement of 2.01%.

We failed to beat though the 17.35% average LPR going to this year’s championship.

Our highest LPR was recorded in year 2007 with 31.65%. Since then our LPR success rate has went downhill and has finally shown signs of improvement this year.

Our “Second Lowest Placement Rate” though, as well as our “Third Lowest Placement Rate” have went down compared to the 2013 edition, but still way better than the 2011 edition.

Combining all “success rates” of all twelve events that our swimmers joined and finished in Kazan, Team Philippines has recorded a “Swimmers’ Average Placement Rate” of 33.64% (one event got DQ’ed).

This year’s SAPR is approximately 4% lower than our 37.11% SAPR last 2013; but is higher than the 27.16% in 2011.

Team Philippines’ best SAPR was recorded in 2007 with 45.22%; followed by 43.84% in 2009.

CONCLUSION

After our performance at the Long Course World championship peaked in 2007 and 2009, it has went pretty bad in 2011 and then improved in 2013.

This year’s performance has shown improvement of 8% in HPR and 2% in LPR; but failed to improve in the overall “Swimmers’ Average Placement Rate” after recording an SAPR of 33.64% this year, compared to 37.11% last year.

While our fastest finish as well as our slowest finish have improved, the average overall performance is 3.47% short in equaling our overall performance last 2013.

In conclusion, though our success rate in beating our entry-times at this year’s championship has failed miserably, Team Philippines’ overall performance this year has shown some signs of promise.

Signs of promise because we have improved our Highest Performance Rate by 8.82%

Signs of promise because have improved our Lowest Performance Rate by 2.01%

Did we improve in our overall success rate performance this year compared to last year? We are 3.47% short.

Anyhow, our team maybe short by 3.47% this year, and may have not come close to our 2009 performance, but we are definitely heading back there!

So Budapest, watch out for Team Philippines!


Team Philippines’ Results Reference :


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